Today’s NAP of the day comes from Goodwood, where we estimate the odds that Just Hubert will win the 4:05 with 5/2 rounds and get you a £ 30 free bet while you’re at it.

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The SportLens racing experts looked at all of Tuesday’s tickets and agreed on their best bet. This is nothing more than Just Hubertus, a former course and distance winner and Goodwood specialist, in the 2m Royal Sussex Regiment Handicap there at 4:05 am. There is a lot to like about the five year old Dunaden gelding, who is in great shape for coaches William Muir and Chris Grassick, so that he could improve his record here. That’s why he’s ours NAP of the day on May 2nd for September 7th.

Why will Just Hubert win?

Course shape is crucial at Goodwood as not all horses can handle this unique track, and Just Jubert has two wins and a second in his last four starts on the Sussex Downs. The runner-up in this race 12 months ago was 1 pound lower than his current handicap mark of 93, but this is an easier renewal of ratings with no 100+ horses in the competition unlike last year. After the winter breaks, Just Hubert needs a few runs to get fit again, and that is exactly what happened again this season.

A return to form after dropping the weights to 87 resulted in him landing the Shergar Cup Stayers Handicap at Ascot on his penultimate start. This form was recently promoted by the fourth horse home, Island Brave, which has landed the Old Borough Cup in Haydock since last weekend on Sprint Cup day. Just Hubert also defeated Ascot Stakes striker Reshoun during the Shergar Cup, and based on that evidence, the once again opposing Indigo Times has nothing to fear.

Then he defied a 3 pound gain to track that distance and distance 11 days ago. Only Hubert showed a really courageous attitude again and always did enough to keep the autumn war by three quarters of a length. He also beat two previous York winners in Dance To Paris and Single in third and fourth place, respectively. Nicola Currie gets her leg back and she is two out of three on Just Hubert.

Recent stable form is good too, with Muir and Grassick sending two winners from their last three runners, with a 33 percent hit rate in the past fortnight to date. At Quinnbet there is a lot of juice at odds of 5/2 over Just Hubert’s chances here. He could be one better than last year and that’s our bet of the day. If you wager € 25 you win € 87.50 and if you lose Quinnbet will refund your stake.

Bet here on Just Hubert at Quinnbet

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